Математичне моделювання впливу змін на ефективність ІТ-проєктів у сфері електронного документообігу

Abstract

This research proposes mathematical models for predicting change impacts in Electronic Document Management System (EDMS) projects. Unlike traditional qualitative approaches, the study develops a multifactor model accounting for module interdependencies, legislative constraints, and user adaptation. Using graph theory, regression analysis, and simulation modeling, the proposed method enables project managers to forecast change costs with 85% accuracy and identify high-risk changes before approval. Practical implementation reduces budget overruns and minimizes business process disruption during system updates.